Friday, July 27, 2012

Is it really resource nationalism?

Resource nationalism is really economic nationalism.

Think about it.

The size and complexity of our economic and communications world has expanded exponentially but the economies in it have not and see the American version of the free market for what it is: greed and power.  And that's what they want too, the what-used-to-be the American Dream.

It should come of no surprise that they want what they see as theirs within the boarders of their country.   in order to be able to play well with others.

We are seeing is the emergence of new realities in markets and governments.

I feel sorry that companies are getting caught in the sea change that began at the turn of the century.

Don't get mad about it and realize that the big cop on the block, the USA, simply can't threaten, cajole or control this new world in the process of reordering itself.

Investors need to learn to see things as they are and seek insight into how to benefit from this.

It is my opinion that investors should be choosing jurisdictions that will protect their investments and flee those that do not.  It is that simple.  And their are a lot of options for them in stable jurisdictions.

The article below is from the local business paper in Vancouver, 'Business In Vancouver' about local companies in the mining and exploration business internationally.  It talks about how companies are trying to protect their "assets in foreign lands with legal agreements and key relationships".

But remember politics and corruption can trump any of these.

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Rising tide of resource nationalism threatens Vancouver miners

Tue Jul 24, 2012 12:01am PST
 
Companies protecting assets in foreign lands with legal agreements, key relationships

High commodity prices and a shaky world economy are intensifying Vancouver mining companies’ clashes with resource nationalism.

Two recent examples include Bolivia’s recent threats to nationalize South American Silver Corp.(TSX:SAC) and Rusoro Mining Ltd.’s(TSX-V:RML) July 18 announcement that it is filing for arbitration after Venezuela nationalized the company’s investments.

A Ernst & Young LLP’s recently releasedglobal survey identified resource nationalism as the top business threat facing mining companies for the second year running. In 2008, the risk ranked eighth on the survey.

Tom Whelan, leader of Ernst & Young’s national mining and metals practice, said the forces driving the trend aren’t hard to identify.

“Every government treasury around the world is under difficult circumstances, and if you look at [high] commodity prices and some of the earnings of the major mining companies … it’s easy to see why there’s a target,” he told Business in Vancouver.

Whelan said companies can protect their assets against the threat in a number of ways.

“It starts with building transparent relationships with the host government so that they understand the entire value of the project to the host government.”

He noted that companies should emphasize everything from tax dollars to infrastructure developments and jobs that projects bring.

Fred McMahon, the Fraser Institute’s vice-president of international policy research, said mining companies need to engage positively with local communities in a project area.

Beyond playing nice with governments and communities, however, companies are seeking legal mechanisms to protect their projects.

Chris Baldwin, a partner with Lawson Lundell LLP, noted that resource nationalism can span everything from tax increases to outright seizure of company assets. He said the key legal protection companies can obtain from a host government is a stability agreement.

Read more...

Tuesday, July 17, 2012

Redesigning Goldbggr

I am redesigning Goldbggr over the next few days.  Please excuse what I hope will be temporary awkwardness.
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Thursday, June 28, 2012

Return of Gold Juniors Looking Real

We all know it's going to happen.  We all know why, mostly.  We just don't know when and because a watched pot never boils it has become particlarly painful to watch and wait.

Well the waiting looks like it's over.  Time to play.   =)   So find your favorite little junior gold stocks and start thinking about building that sand castle... keeping an eye out for the beach bully—because he will be back to try and make us all fearful, again.

The window for high-return gold equity shopping is now open IMO.

G

June 28, 2012, 9:06 a.m. EDT

Top Junior Gold Mining Stocks Gained 28%

Jun 28, 2012 (ACCESSWIRE-TNW via COMTEX) -- TORONTO, Canada: In tracking the small cap stock universe for Wednesday, June 27, 2012, Ubika Research found that the top 10 small cap stock gainers from each of the listed sectors performed as follows: 

Metals & Mining stocks: +24% 

Gold stocks: +28% 

Energy stocks: +21% 

Technology stocks: +9% 

Clean Tech stocks: +9% 

The top individual small cap stock gainers include Strata Minerals Inc. (CVE:CA:SMP) with a 46% gain in metals and mining, Stronghold Metals Inc. (CVE:CA:Z) with a 70% gain among gold stocks, Sundance Energy Corp. (CVE:CA:SNY) with a 67% gain in Energy, Zaio Corp. (CVE:CA:ZAO) with a 31% gain among technology stocks and Run of River Power Inc. (CVE:CA:ROR) with a 17% gain in the cleantech category. 

 

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Fools Gold? (G: The return of the retail investor)

Retail investors are turning to look at gold again.  Have a read of Christopher Barker's (of The Motley Fool) article "The Best-Kept Secret in Gold".  The really great thing about The Motley Fool is that they do a thorough job when they make a pick.  A fact their community knows well.

I'm tracking the shifting sentiment of retail investors searching (hoping?) for their return to equity markets.  When they do that will herald a return to the healing of stock markets. 

The retail investing community informed by The Motley Fool is sizable so take this note as an indication 'perhaps' that the return of the precious metals bull market is immanent.

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The Best-Kept Secret in Gold





My investment portfolio is chock-full of names you've never heard of. That's just how I roll.

For the small minority of investors out there that actually have made room within their nest eggs for a slice of silver and gold, most will select from a small set of predictable vehicles. Many have no doubt abandoned the mining and exploration equities altogether given their dastardly trailing underperformance -- to an admittedly shocking degree -- vis-à-vis the popular bullion proxies SPDR Gold Trust (NYS: GLD) and the iShares Silver Trust.

For those intrepid souls determined to stand strong with precious metal equity exposure -- presumably sharing my bullish expectation of a major reversal of fortune once the metal prices regain their momentum -- most will likely settle upon the closest things we have to household names in the sector. Although I wholeheartedly condone the inclusion of superstars like Goldcorp and Silver Wheaton (NYS: SLW) within a well-crafted basket of gold and silver selections, I encourage Fools to dig a little deeper into this forlorn and under-followed galaxy of stocks to find their own diamond in the rough. I think I've located one particularly attractive stock that, perhaps in part because it's not listed on a major U.S. exchange, continues to fly under the radar of most U.S. investors.

The second time is a charmThis isn't the first time I've loaded up on shares of Sabina Gold and Silver (Symbol "SBB" on the Toronto Stock Exchange; "SGSVF" for U.S. investors through the OTC market). I first built a position back in 2006 as the company enjoyed terrific exploration success at a polymetallic project called Hackett River in Canada's Nunavut Province. I enjoyed a powerful multi-bagger performance before locking in gains in early 2011. Thereafter, the stock suffered a dramatic decline while the sector turned suddenly sour, and my Foolish bargain-hunting radar began to sound. As a result, I selected Sabina as one of my "Top 10 Gold Stocks for 2012."

To my amazement, the selling proceeded mercilessly into 2012, and Sabina presently sits 38% beneath where I recommended the shares last December. From its 52-week high, Sabina has tumbled 64%! Undeterred, I have continued to increase my stake, such that Sabina Gold & Silver is now a core holding of mine for the second time in this precious metal bull market. I think the second time around will be as charming as the first, and I aim to tell you why I'm so excited about the outlook.

Read full article here

Monday, June 11, 2012

Germany wants Gold to be the 'effective' currency of the Eurzone

Here we go.  The chatter will turn now to using gold to 'manage' the debt.  Watch and learn.  The masters of our world have never been watched in such detail.

They/We MUST DO THIS.  The world cannot work its way out of debt.  It's that simple

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Here's the article in the Globe and Mail by Eric Reguly :

A golden idea to save (or doom) the euro

Gold is back in the news, big time, and not just because the price may be on the verge of another upswing or that Peter Munk is turning Barrick, the world’s biggest gold company, into a CEO meat grinder. It’s because Germany, it appears, wants to make gold the effective currency of the euro zone before the region plunges to the bottom of the seas like a concrete U-boat.
The weakest euro zone countries are tapped out financially and economically. But a few of them are brimming with gold reserves. Take Italy, the euro zone’s third-largest economy. The Italians love gold and it’s stashed everywhere, in their central bank and in their jewellery and safe deposit boxes. (I once saw a religious-festival parade of children in a mountain town, with each child groaning under the weight of heavy gold necklaces and other baubles). At last count, the central bank had 2,451 tonnes of gold, valued at close to €100-billion ($128-billion). That’s not a fortune compared to Italy’s €1.9-trillion national debt, but it’s not bad when Rome is raiding the pantry to pay its ever-rising debt.
Germany’s idea is coyly named the European Redemption Pact and it is nothing if not creative. While details are scant, here is roughly how this gilded baby would work. Countries with debts greater than 60 per cent of gross domestic product – the (ignored) limit under the European Union’s Maastricht Treaty – would transfer those debts into a redemption fund, which would be covered by joint bonds. The scheme has been called “euro bonds lite.”
Here’s the catch. Countries using the scheme (most would, including Germany, because of generally high debt-to-GDP ratios) would have to cover 20 per cent of their debt with collateral, payable in gold or currency reserves. Default on the payments and you lose your gold. The “sinking” fund would retire the debt over 20 years.

Read full article here

More on Buffet, Munger, Berkshire and Gold

This is a follow-up on the little article on Warren where it reveals to me the reason why inflation will return and return with the clear intent of destroying the massive debt largely created by greed unbridled by regulation which, to be fair, became and continues to be out-of-date as the world's economy continues to expand.

I like this article by Eric Fry which includes another version of the earlier chart.  It ponders their (Buffet and Munger) establishment view and their approach to talking gold down.

Love this stuff.

=)

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On Jelly Donuts and Gold

Source: Eric Fry, The Daily Reckoning  (6/6/12)

"Gold is not merely a great thing to own amidst extreme circumstances. It can also be a great thing to own amidst merely marginal circumstances, for example, if you happen to be living during the tail end of one of the most powerful, world-dominating economic expansions in human history. . .rather than at the beginning of it."


Gold is "forever unproductive," says Warren Buffett, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.
"Civilized people don't buy gold," says Buffett's sidekick, Charlie Munger. Civilized people, says Munger, "invest in productive businesses."
So let's see. . .Where does that lead us?

If. . .
A) Berkshire Hathaway invests in productive businesses and;
B) Investing in productive businesses is civilized and;
C) Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger direct Berkshire's investments;
Then. . .
D) Buffett and Munger are civilized.
Gee whiz! That's lucky!
But to make sure the world appreciates just how civilized these two civilized gents are, they continuously (and very publicly) belittle both gold and the uncivilized masses who consider it a store of value.
"Gold gets dug out of the ground," Warren Buffett famously observed, "then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head."
Yes, that's right, anyone from Mars. . .or from Berkshire Hathaway headquarters. But most of the other seven billion folks residing on either Earth or Mars understand that gold has at least some utility. At a minimum, they understand that gold possesses

Friday, June 8, 2012

I like Warren Buffet but I am happy...

I am happy to see his sticking to his knitting.  You can see his from his attitude towards gold in the article from January where he said:

“I will say this about gold. If you took all the gold in the world, it would roughly make a cube 67 feet on a side…Now for that same cube of gold, it would be worth at today’s market prices about $7 trillion dollars – that’s probably about a third of the value of all the stocks in the United States.”

“For $7 trillion dollars…you could have all the farmland in the United States, you could have about seven ExxonMobils (XOM, quote), and you could have a trillion dollars of walking-around money…And if you offered me the choice of looking at some 67 foot cube of gold and looking at it all day, and you know me touching it and fondling it occasionally…Call me crazy, but I’ll take the farmland (DBA, quote) and the ExxonMobils.”

I am happy because the performance of his stock, Berkshire Hathaway, shows the effect of our present economic condition on the best-in-class of the US economy.  This is what gold will (and is being albeit in the background at present) be used to fix.  The effect of the accumulated shared debt is a knot so tight all growth is being strangled.  It simply must be loosened.  The debt will be reduced in value.

This is why inflation is a good thing.  The alternative actually is austerity which handled poorly will lead to depression and which if handled well by large sainted masses of participants will crawl along much like the chart below for a long time.

The present potential for a bottoming of gold equities offers the greatest leverage for returns on investment within this range and so is, in my opinion, a fertile sector for some stock research. Best of luck everyone.

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